Polling Suggests Dobbs Decision Won't Help Democrats in November


A new memo from the Republican State Leadership Committee (RSLC) showed the Supreme Court’s recent opinion overturning Roe v. Wade after ruling on the Dobbs case would not help the Democrats win over the support of voters in the November election, as they hoped.

Instead, the memo indicated November would be a “referendum on how Biden and his Democrat allies in the states have destroyed our economy” as the percentage of battleground general election voters worry more economy than abortion as a top issue.

As the poll was taken on Saturday morning, in the peak time after the Dobbs ruling, the RSLC feels confident there has been no change from their January survey. “The results affirm that state Republicans remain on offense this year, as they will continue to run campaigns focused on serving as the counterweight to President Biden’s failing economic policies,” the memo stated.

The polling found Biden’s job approval is also underwater, with 41 percent favorable and 57 percent unfavorable. And only 23 percent of likely voters think the country is on the right track, compared to 74 percent who believe it is on the wrong track.

It is just the latest in a long series of public rejections for the president.

Biden’s approval rating is down to the lowest in his presidency, at only 32 percent approval and 57 percent disapproval, according to the CIVIQS rolling job-approval average as of Saturday. https://t.co/Gj75uI5Qty

Additionally, on the generic ballot, Republican state legislative candidates slightly lead Democrats, 47 percent to 45 percent. In fact, among those surveyed, 48 percent said they would prefer a Republican candidate who would act as a check and balance Biden and his policies versus 44 percent who would prefer having a Democrat who supports the president and his policies.

While abortion is an issue the respondents seemed to care about, it was nowhere close to being a topline issue for voters. Not even close, even after the Dobbs ruling. Instead, over half of the respondents cared about the economy as an issue.

When the respondents were asked which issues were most important, 56 percent said either the high cost of living/inflation, the economy in general, or unemployment/jobs in comparison. In comparison, only eight percent said abortion. Even crime polled one percent higher than abortion:

For independent voters, 60 percent said they care about inflation, the economy in general, and jobs as their top concerns. Additionally, only 21 percent said abortion is the absolute most crucial issue to them.

Overall, only 30 percent of the respondents said a candidate’s position on abortion is the absolute most crucial issue to them, compared to 65 percent who said there are other issues that they consider to be a higher priority when choosing who to support in November’s election.

Additionally, less than 40 percent of the respondents said they wanted to prioritize abortion to the extent that they would be unwilling to vote for a candidate whose views do not align with theirs on the issue.

Forty-nine percent of likely voters said they would be willing to vote for a candidate who has a different view from them on abortion so long as they agree with them on most other issues, compared to 37 percent who said they were unwilling to compromise on abortion.

The RSLC’s memo explained that one reason the economy is the most pressing issue for voters ahead of the fall, even in light of the Dobbs ruling, is due to personal finances worsening since January.

Crowd Prays in Gratitude Outside Supreme Court After Roe v. Wade Overturned pic.twitter.com/iPogzmz4WM

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Submitted 49 days ago

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