Texas Democrats are facing a stark reality as a new poll indicates significant trouble for Representative Jasmine Crockett in her bid for the Senate.
Emerging data reveals that Crockett is lagging behind her rival, James Talarico, by almost ten points among Democratic primary voters, just weeks before the crucial March 3 primary.
In a recent Emerson College Polling/Nexstar Media survey, Talarico garnered 47% of support compared to Crockett's 38%, leaving 15% of voters undecided.
This gap in support could have profound implications as Talarico, a seminary student with a controversial past commentary on gender, has solidified his lead, particularly among male voters—where he holds a 22-point advantage.
Meanwhile, Crockett faces backlash within her party, especially after her recent comments implying that Latino voters possess a “slave mentality” due to their support for stricter immigration policies.
This divisive remark has not endeared her to many within the Democratic ranks and may alienate the moderate and independent voters critical for a statewide election.
Crockett's stance showcases a broader trend of Democrats struggling to unify their base in Texas, a traditionally red state where they have failed to secure a statewide victory since 1994.
In contrast, Talarico appears to have mastered the fundraising game, securing nearly $7 million in the last quarter of 2025, while Crockett's financial status remains unclear, as she has yet to disclose her fourth-quarter totals.
As the electoral landscape heats up, both Talarico and his potential GOP opponents—Attorney General Ken Paxton and Senator John Cornyn—are positioning themselves for a tough race.
Paxton, despite his recent impeachment drama, remains a formidable candidate, leading many GOP polls, while Cornyn faces challenges from within his party. Both Republicans are eager for a slice of Trump's endorsement pie ahead of the primaries.
The upcoming election cycle in Texas promises to be anything but predictable, as candidates on both sides prepare to vie for support in an increasingly competitive political battleground.
With a significant number of undecided voters still in play, the dynamics of the race could shift dramatically in the coming weeks. The stakes couldn't be higher as Democrats aim to reclaim a foothold in Texas, a state that has consistently leaned Republican in recent years.
Sources:
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