Early Polls Hint At 2024 Republican Frontrunners

As we move on from the 2020 election, eyes are now moving forward to 2024, with early polls providing some insight into Republican voter preference for the next presidential cycle.

Morning Consult and Politico surveyed 595 Republicans between January 8 and 11 — a few days after the US Capitol building riot and two weeks before President Biden’s inauguration.

In comparison to data from late November, President Donald Trump saw a 12% decrease in support, though he remains far ahead of potential rivals. Other candidates saw modest increases in voter preference over the same period.

Here are the leading Republican candidates for the presidential nomination in 2024.

Donald Trump

Morning Consult and Politico show former President Donald Trump boasting 42% of voters’ support — a figure that dwarfs support for other candidates, including his vice president and his firstborn son.

On January 25, Trump established the “Office of the Former President” in Florida to “carry on the agenda of the Trump Administration through advocacy, organizing, and public activism,” according to a statement.

This move signals that the 45th President is looking to continue influencing national politics in the foreseeable future, even if he declines to seek a second term in the White House.

Mike Pence

Following President Trump is former Vice President and Indiana Gov. Mike Pence, who is supported by 16% of Republicans — a 4% increase since late November.

In the drama surrounding the Capitol riot, Pence was reportedly furious with President Trump. Sen. Jim Inhofe (R-OK) told reporters on January 7 that he has “known Mike Pence forever,” yet had “never seen Pence as angry as he was today.”

Pence attended President Biden’s inauguration instead of President Trump’s departure from Washington. However, Pence also refused to invoke the 25th Amendment to remove his boss from the Oval Office.

It is unclear if a rift between the former president and vice president will endure into the 2024 election cycle.

Donald Trump Jr.

Maintaining 6% of Republican support is Donald Trump Jr. — the eldest son of former President Trump.

Trump Jr. was active in his father’s campaign and assembled a massive online following, which includes 6.6 million Twitter followers. In the past two years, he published two books about modern American politics. His book Triggered was an instant New York Times bestseller.

Trump Jr.’s evident popularity among members of his father’s base may signal a promising political future.

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